Bangladesh economy to grow by 6.4pc this fiscal: WB
The World Bank report said South Asia’s economy rebounded in the second half of the year following a massive second wave of Covid-19 in mid-2021. “An improvement in domestic demand and resumption of exports contributed to strong growth in Bangladesh,” it says.
Bangladesh’s GDP is expected to reach 6.4 percent in FY2021/22 ending June 2022, and 6.9 per cent in FY2022/23, due to growing services activity and firming exports of readymade garments.
The consumer inflation in major economies of the region has been above central banks’ targets since late 2019.
The World Bank report says the pandemic, and the emergence of the Omicron variant, could hinder economic activity by requiring additional mobility restrictions and undermining external demand.
It adds that risks to the outlook remain to the downside, while another risk stems from financing conditions.
Further upward price pressures may cause inflation expectations to become unanchored, worsening domestic financing conditions, eroding real incomes, and weakening the financial sector.
Climate risks are becoming more prevalent in South Asia as cyclones, floods, and droughts have become more frequent and as the costs of such events have increased.
The region is one of the most vulnerable to climate-induced increases in poverty, disease, child mortality and food prices.
The report states that the growth prospects have improved since June 2021, largely because of better prospects in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan.
Regional growth is expected to accelerate to 7.6 percent in 2022 as pandemic-related disruptions fade, before slowing to 6.0 percent in 2023.
In most economies, monetary and fiscal policy are expected to remain broadly accommodative in 2022, but gradually shift to a focus on fiscal sustainability and anchoring inflation expectations.
Despite the upward revision to growth, output in 2023 is still projected to be almost 8 percent lower than projected before the pandemic.